For U.S. small and mid-sized manufacturers

Ten plants chosen · Applications close 31 August 2026

Was it the market, or was it you?

Margin moved last year and nobody can prove why. This is software that separates what the market did to you from what your own decisions did — and then shows where the next dollar of effort actually pays.

Apply for a free 2027 engagement See what you get Two minutes. Non-binding. Nothing due now.

Is this you

Four problems. They are all the same problem.

Every one of these comes from the same gap: decisions are made faster than they can be measured. Close that gap and all four get easier at once.

Too many decisions, none of them priced

A supplier, a run size, a promise to a customer. Each one moves cash. Nobody can say by how much until the year is closed and it is too late to choose differently.

Then: you see the cash effect before you commit, not after.

Results nobody can explain

Margin fell. Was it input prices, freight, and demand, or was it your sourcing and your mix? Without an answer, next quarter is another guess.

Then: the result comes split into the part you caused and the part you absorbed.

Hours on work that should run itself

The same sheet rebuilt every week. The same reorder judged by feel. The same report retyped for the same meeting.

Then: the small repeating decisions run automatically and you review exceptions.

Data that cannot answer a question

No structure, no versions, no record of what was decided or why. So a result today cannot be traced back to the choice that caused it.

Then: this is the one to fix first, and it is where the work starts.

The idea

One number tells you nothing. Two numbers tell you what to do.

Your margin change is really two changes added together. One part came from outside: input prices, freight, demand, a supplier's own trouble. The other part came from inside: what you sourced, what you ran, what you held, how you staffed it.

Reported together, they cancel out into a single figure you can only shrug at. Pulled apart, they give two different instructions. Volatility you cannot control, you hedge and diversify against. Inefficiency you can control, you fix — and the fix is worth a known amount.

Doing this needs structured data, versions, and a record of what was decided and when. That is why the first work is on your data, not on a slide.

A margin change split into an outside part and an inside part A single bar labelled "the number you see today" sits above a second bar of the same width, divided into a left portion for causes outside the plant's control and a right portion for causes inside its control. WHAT YOU SEE TODAY one blended margin number WHAT IT IS MADE OF outside your control inside your control input prices, freight, demand, a supplier's trouble hedge and diversify sourcing, mix, inventory, run sizes, labour fix, and price the fix
The split is the product. Proportions here are illustrative — yours come from your own data.

What you get

Four things. The first one is the reason to say yes.

Everything below is built to keep working after the engagement ends, because a tool you cannot run yourself is just a report with a longer shelf life.

01 · The first engagement

One page that says where the next dollar goes.

When a supplier, a product mix, or an inventory level is on the table, you get the cash effect of each option and a recommendation you can defend in a room.

  • Anticipate customer demand earlier, so you stop buying and building blind
  • Diversify sourcing before one supplier is the only one setting your price
  • Improve what happens inside the plant — runs, inventory, labour — where it actually pays
  • Every saving written so you can check it later against your own books

Apply for a free 2027 engagement

Layout of the one-page summary A wireframe of a single page: a heading strip, one headline figure, three small tiles, a paired bar chart comparing outside and inside causes, and a recommendation line.

Layout of the summary page, drawn empty on purpose. No sample figures, because there is no client work to show yet.

02

Take the foreign order

Software prepares the shipping packet, checks it is complete, and flags obvious gaps, so a first export does not need a trade department. It is software, not legal advice, and it does not replace a lawyer on sanctions or controlled goods.

03

Automate the small repeating stuff

The weekly sheet, the routine reorder, the report retyped for the same meeting. Built to be repeatable across plants rather than as a one-off study, so it keeps running after the engagement ends.

04

Keep the method

The model, the templates, and the tracking stay with you and work the same way next year. No data-science hire, no dependency on me to run it again.

How it works

Three steps, and an honest answer at step two.

  1. You apply

    By 31 August 2026

    Plant details and a contact, two minutes. Non-binding, and either side can withdraw at any time.

  2. I read it and choose

    Autumn 2026

    Every application gets read, then a short call about what your systems actually record. Ten are chosen. If the split cannot be built from the data you have, I tell you that instead of selling you a study.

  3. The work starts

    Beginning of 2027

    The first version is built for your plant, on your numbers, with the savings written down so they can be checked afterwards.

What it costs

Ten plants pay nothing. That is a bet, not a discount.

I am confident enough in the result to carry the risk of the first version myself. Ten plants will be chosen from the applications, and for them the first engagement costs nothing.

If it works and you want a stronger version afterwards, we agree in writing on a fee tied to the savings the work can be shown to have produced. No percentage is promised on this page, and if the number is not there, there is nothing for a fee to attach to.

Applications close 31 August 2026. Applying does not reserve one of the ten places, arriving early does not help, and I may choose fewer than ten. Work begins at the beginning of 2027 either way.

Who does the work

Stefano Ciccarelli

Data Scientist at a Fortune 10 / FAANG company. New York metro, based in Jersey City.

Four disciplines that normally arrive as four separate invoices: data science, corporate finance, software engineering, and sourcing and plant operations.

Why the number can be trusted

Finance training and machine learning, pointed at plant decisions.

Master's in corporate finance, LUISS, cum laude — equated to a U.S. M.S. in Finance.
Warwick and EDHEC: business intelligence, data, finance and risk.
Imperial College London: machine learning, with Distinction. Oxford: artificial intelligence.
Built independently, on public data and my own methods. This work does not use a current or former employer's systems, data, or methods.

Instead of

What the alternatives actually give you.

  • A large consultancy

    The same class of work, at a price a $20M plant will not sign, and the model leaves with them when the engagement ends.

  • Your own spreadsheet

    An accurate record of what happened. It cannot tell you which part of what happened was your own doing.

  • A freight broker

    Can move the crate. Will not tell you whether to change supplier, and leaves you nothing reusable for the next order.

Why now

Reshoring is being talked about faster than it is being measured.

Talk of bringing work home is up, and imports still rose. That gap exists because most plants cannot price the decision, so they sign on unit price and hope. That is the gap this closes.

$2.93T

U.S. manufacturing output, roughly a tenth of GDP. Federal figures.

35,000+

Small and mid-sized plants in the NIST-MEP universe.

97%

of U.S. exporters are small firms, and they still hold only about a third of export value.

These are counts of how many plants exist and what they ship. They are public figures about the size of the sector, not a claim about how many will buy this.

Later · not part of this window

Tools that go looking for the next market or the next product

  • Screening export markets a plant could serve, and the paperwork path into them.
  • Products a plant could make with the equipment it already owns, and the inputs those products need. Plant goods, not consumer retail.

Not live, and not part of the first 2027 engagement. There is a checkbox on the application if you want it noted. It will only be built if plants use the first two things well.

Before you ask

The questions everyone asks first.

Is any of this legal advice?

No. The export side is software that assembles and checks a shipping packet. It is not legal advice and it is not a substitute for a lawyer or a licensed broker, particularly on sanctions, export controls, or controlled goods. When something needs counsel, you will be told to get counsel.

Can I buy the software today?

No. Nothing here is live software for sale right now. The company is in formation and work begins at the beginning of 2027. What you can do today is apply to be one of the ten plants the first engagements are built for.

Am I committing to anything by applying?

No. The application records a non-binding expression of interest. Either side may withdraw at any time, for any reason. No payment is due now, and nothing authorises work or billing before 2027.

How are the ten chosen?

By hand, by me, after the window closes on 31 August 2026. I am looking for plants where the question is real and the records are good enough to answer it — not for whoever clicked first. Applying early does not help and does not reserve anything. Everyone who applies gets an answer either way, and if you are chosen you get a DocuSign copy of the letter to make it official.

My data is a mess. Is that disqualifying?

It is the opposite. Unstructured data with no version history is the normal starting point and it is the first thing the work addresses. What matters is whether enough was recorded to reconstruct past decisions. After a short call you will get a straight answer about that, including "not yet" if that is the truth.

How do I know a saving is real and not a story?

Because the claim is written before the work, in terms your own books can settle, and the market part is separated from the internal part. If a good quarter came from prices moving in your favour, the report says so rather than taking credit for it.

Ten plants, chosen by hand. Applications close 31 August 2026.

Two minutes to apply. Non-binding, withdraw whenever you like, nothing due now.

Apply now
Apply — free 2027 engagement